Third of known planets may be water worlds, scientists say
More than 20 years ago, Kevin Costner dared to dream of a planet completely covered in water, but his big-budget film, Waterworld, was a flop.
Perhaps it was just ahead of its time, as new modelling suggests there are hundreds of alien exoplanets (or planets outside our solar system) out there that are dominated by water.
Whatâs the discovery?
Since 1992 weâve known of exoplanets orbiting other stars, and pondered what they might look like or offer us here on Earth.
What scientists now believe, thanks to data from the Kepler Space Telescope, is some of these may contain as much as 50 per cent water â well above Earthâs 0.02 per cent by mass.
Whatâs more, scientists think as many as a third of all known planets bigger than Earth could fit this âwater worldâ description.
A team of scientists, led by Li Zeng from Harvard University, presented these findings to the Goldschmidt Conference in Boston recently.
They havenât yet been published in a peer-reviewed journal and itâs important to note itâs theoretical at this point â we havenât directly observed the planets.
Still, Jonathan Horner, professor at the Centre for Astrophysics at the University of Southern Queensland, said it was an exciting development.
âThe novelty here is Kepler has revealed that there is a kind of planet that we donât have in the solar system, which is something between the size of Earth and Neptune,â he said.
âIt looks like what theyâve done here is modelling of the interior of the planet where you know the mass to some degree and the radius to some degree, and you try to figure out what their composition could be.
âAnd therefore thatâs where theyâve got the idea that theyâre probably water worlds.â
What would these water worlds look like?
Weâre not really talking about a big rocky core with a layer of ocean on top in the same way the Earth is structured.
Instead, while these planets do have a rocky centre, they tend to be about 2.5 times the radius of Earth and 10 times the mass.
They also look different to Earth, Professor Horner said.
âYouâve probably got a thick water atmosphere thatâs a very, very effective greenhouse,â Professor Horner said.
âAnd then eventually when you get far enough down the pressure is high enough that that becomes either liquid or even ice.â
While the Kepler telescope has given us some data, Dr Zeng said the TESS (Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite) mission would offer more insight.
âThese water worlds likely formed in similar ways to the giant planet cores (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune), which we find in our own solar system,â Dr Zeng said in a statement.
âThe newly launched TESS mission will find many more of them.
âThe next-generation space telescope, the James Webb Space Telescope, will hopefully characterise the atmosphere of some of them.â
What does this mean for finding life?
Not too much, unfortunately, says Professor Horner.
âYou might actually think that, âHooray, water worlds are good for lifeâ but theyâre probably not,â he said.
âThere are studies from years ago ⊠that say if youâve got a deep enough ocean all of the life would be at the bottom of the ocean because thatâs where the nutrients are.
âSo even if thereâs life there, on a planet with a 1000km-deep ocean, it would be ridiculously difficult to detect, because itâll all be at the bottom of the ocean.â
So itâs not to say life couldnât exist on these worlds, but our chances of finding them with current technology is pretty slim.
Could Earth become a water world too?
The short answer is no. The longer answer is yes.
According to astrophysicist Alan Duffy, Earth wonât accumulate water in the same way these alien planets have.
He said theoretically it could have gone down this path, but if it was ever going to happen it would have done so back when the solar system was first created.
However, the Earth could one day become completely covered in water through a different process.
âIf tectonic activity shut down and new mountains werenât being pushed up, eventually the rain will wear down even the tallest of mountains and essentially grind us down until we end up below sea level,â Professor Duffy said.
âSo itâs not the same water world. We donât know why the Earth hasnât followed the same path. Perhaps it wasnât big enough as a rocky core, which meant it couldnât capture all of this water vapour in the early days of the solar system.
âBut if it wasnât for tectonic activity we would actually be covered in water. So we have a lot to thank volcanoes for.â








