US Vice President JD Vance said last week that the US wins “either way” in negotiations with Iran.

“If we make the final deal, then great,” Vance told HBO’s Bill Maher.

“If we don’t make the final deal, their nuclear program is still destroyed. They’re still much weaker as a country.”

Just hours after Vance’s appearance on HBO, Iran launched attack drones on Bahrain – which hosts the US Navy’s Fifth Fleet headquarters, a major logistical base for US military operations.

Iran also struck an oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, its second attack on a ship since Thursday.

So much for Iran being much weaker.

Pressed by Maher on whether Iran’s nuclear program had been destroyed, Vance shot back: “What part of it is not destroyed? The thing that you have to destroy is their ability to enrich uranium, which has been destroyed.”

In fact, Iran still has a stockpile of 60 per cent-enriched uranium, which experts concede could be turned into a nuclear weapon.

Vance’s media appearance came two days after he visited the Richard Nixon presidential library and museum in California to talk about his new book on his journey from atheism to allegedly devout Catholicism.

During his visit he defended Nixon for the Watergate break-in scandal that ended his presidency.

“I think that his historical legacy is enjoying a bit of a renaissance – but I think deservedly so,” Vance said of Nixon.

“If Watergate happened tomorrow, it would be like a 12-hour news story. Like, the idea that it would have taken down a presidency is crazy.”

It was the “deep state that took down Richard Nixon” – not Nixon’s serious crimes.

Hello? The only conceivable reason Watergate might not bring down a presidency tomorrow or be a 12-hour story is the gargantuan criminality and corruption of the Trump-Vance regime, which puts Watergate in the minor league by comparison.

I raise Vance’s recent bizarro comments because in a few months he’ll be actively campaigning to be the Republican candidate for US president in 2028.

He’s a more dangerous demagogue than Donald Trump because he wraps his demagoguery in the apparent thoughtfulness of a graduate of Yale Law School and a serious best-selling author.

I’ve spent the past two days reading his latest book Communion: Finding My Way Back to Faith – a memoir focusing on Vance’s 2019 conversion to Catholicism – and can assure you of three things. First, it’s a serious book. Second, Vance’s mind is as vacuous and unprincipled as he is in person. Third, the book isn’t worth reading.

In one of the few mea culpas in the book, Vance writes that it was “boneheaded” of him – “one of the dumbest things I ever said” – to call Kamala Harris and several other prominent Democrats “childless cat ladies who want to make the rest of the country miserable too”.

In the book Vance calls the insult, “intentionally (and successfully) provocative rather than illuminating”.

What Vance doesn’t admit to is that when his remark resurfaced during his early days as Trump’s running mate, he refused to apologise or express any regret for it.

“Obviously, it was a sarcastic comment. I’ve got nothing against cats,” he said then – sarcastically – adding that “if you look at Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, AOC (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez), the entire future of the Democrats is controlled by people without children”, which in his view had made the entire Democratic Party “anti-family and anti-child”.

Vance’s intentionally provocative rather than illuminating demagoguery was in evidence again when he insisted during the 2024 presidential election campaign that the pets of upright Americans residing in Springfield, Ohio, were being “abducted and eaten” by Haitian immigrants “who shouldn’t be in this country”.

When confronted with irrefutable evidence that Haitian immigrants were not eating pets in Springfield, Vance admitted publicly that he was speaking, shall we say, metaphorically.

“If I have to create stories so that the American media actually pays attention to the suffering of the American people, then that’s what I’m going to do,” he told CNN.

It’s much the same with his recent response to the fatal stabbing of Henry Nowak by Vickrum Digwa in the British city of Southampton.

After Digwa was sentenced to life imprisonment, Vance declared that Nowak would still be alive had Europeans “stood their ground against the politics of self-hatred and the mass invasion of migrants, many of whom despise the West and the people who love it”.

Inconveniently for Vance, Digwa didn’t migrate to Britain. He was born and raised there.

Vance would never have become a senator from Ohio in 2022 were it not for the billionaire tech financier Peter Thiel, who staked US$15 million ($22 million) on his election – a major portion of all the money that went into Vance’s Senate race.

Before running for the US Senate, Vance had worked for Thiel’s California venture capital firm and was part of Thiel’s libertarian community of rich crypto bros, tech executives, back-to-the-landers, and disaffected far-right intellectuals.

Because Thiel had been a major funder of Trump’s 2016 presidential run, he had significant influence with Trump when urging him to pick Vance for his vice president.

Why was Thiel such a devoted sponsor of Vance? Because Thiel saw in his protege a future leader of a political movement to turn the US away from democracy.

“For Peter,” said one of the people familiar with his thinking, “Vance is a generational bet.”

Thiel is a self-styled libertarian who once wrote: “I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible.”

Bulls–t. Freedom is incompatible with democracy only if you view democracy as a potential constraint on your wealth and power.

Thiel and Vance believe that the only way true libertarians can win in the US is for a Caesar-like figure to wrest power from the US establishment and install a monarchical regime, run like a startup.

The first step, as Vance offered in a 2021 podcast, is to replace “every single mid-level bureaucrat, every civil servant in the administrative state … with our people. And when the courts stop you, stand before the country, and say” — as did Andrew Jackson – that “the chief justice has made his ruling. Now let him enforce it”.

The next step is to foment so much division and bigotry inside the US and within other major Western nations that people come to view those on the other side of the political divide as the source of everything that’s wrong with their lives – which Vance has been eagerly trying to do.

That way, they won’t look upward to see that the billionaire robber barons, plutocrats, and oligarchs of this second Gilded Age have grabbed most of the wealth and power for themselves. Hence, average people will trade in democracy for strongman autocracy.

Behind Vance’s demagoguery about the US winning either way in Iran, Nixon being taken down by the deep state, childless cat ladies, the Democratic Party being anti-family and anti-child, Haitian-Americans eating pets, and immigrants threatening Western civilisation is a deadly serious plan to unite the far-right of America and Europe, and rid much of the world of democracy.

If Vance becomes president, he’s intent on furthering the job.

Vance resembles Trump in every way – he lies effortlessly, he’s utterly without principle and he’s intent on gaining power – except that he’s smarter and more ruthless than Trump.

Take note and beware.

Robert Reich is professor emeritus of public policy at Berkeley University and a former US secretary of labour. His latest book is the No. 1 New York Times best-seller, Coming Up Short