Market Wrap: Economic ‘hurricane’ warning as Russian oil ban brings volatility to markets

Investors have been warned to prepare for an economic 'hurricane' due to Russia oil ban.

Investors have been warned to prepare for an economic 'hurricane' due to Russia oil ban.

A volatile week for US stockmarkets on renewed inflationary concerns as euro area inflation made fresh record highs, and economic data showed that aside from housing, the US economy remains resilient.

A promising start to the week for the ASX200 petered out as volatility on Wall Street and local tech stocks unsettled investors.

Here are the top five things that happened in markets this week.

1. Australian Q1 GDP beats expectations

Australian Q1 2022 Australian GDP beat market expectations, rising by a solid 0.8 per cent quarter on quarter and 3.3 per cent year on year, despite the impact of Omicron and the devastating rains and floods that hit the east coast.

Testimony to the underlying strength in the economy following the re-opening.

2. The new normal: Bank of Canada raises rates by 50 basis points

The Bank of Canada raised the cash rate by 50 basis points (the new normal) from 1 per cent to 1.5 per cent.

The tone of the accompanying statement was hawkish and noted that “the risk of elevated inflation becoming entrenched has risen”.

3. Volatility in energy markets continues

The wild ride in crude oil notched up a gear this week as the price of crude oil soared to $120 per barrel as EU leaders agreed to ban Russian oil imports just as the driving season in the US kicked off and a broader reopening commences in China.

Only to fall back below $112 per barrel on reports, Saudi Arabia is prepared to raise production to compensate for the loss of Russian oil.

4. US economy remains resilient

Data this week shows that the US economy is holding up well, despite a tightening in financial conditions aside from the housing market.

The ISM manufacturing survey rose to 56.1 in May, from 55.4.

The JOLTS (Job Openings and Labour Turnover survey) report showed continued strength in the labour market, with the number of layoffs in April declining to 1.246 million, a record low since the series began in 2000.

5. Economic hurricane to hit?

Jamie Dimon, JP Morgan Chase’s CEO, warned investors to prepare for an economic “hurricane” caused by aggressive central bank tightening and the war in Ukraine.

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All trading carries risk. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This report does not contain and is not to be taken as containing any financial product advice or financial product recommendation.
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