Australians all over can expect a warmer than average spring but parts of the nation are likely to cop more of a drenching than usual.

Conditions are increasingly likely to be warmer than average across all states and territories in the next three months, according to the Bureau of Meteorology’s spring long-range forecast, released on Thursday.

Most of Queensland, NSW and the ACT are expected to have above average rainfall, while parts of South Australia and Tasmania can expect slightly more rain than usual.

Western Australia is tipped to have average or below average falls, with ‘typical’ rain expected in the Northern Territory.

With winter officially ending on Saturday, it has been warmer than usual – 1.5 degrees above the 1961-90 winter average, according to preliminary data from the weather b

“Despite some typically cool winter temperatures at times on the east coast, winter has been warmer than usual across the country with August on track to be Australia’s warmest August on record,” the bureau said.

Forecast by jurisdiction

• NSW and ACT Warmer than usual, above average rainfall in most areas, unusually high rainfall in NSW’s north and some central areas
• Victoria Warmer than usual, typical rainfall in most areas, slightly increased chance of above average rainfall in parts of the south-west
• Queensland Unusually warm days and nights in most parts, above average rainfall in most areas, first significant rains of the wet season likely to be earlier than usual
• Western Australia Warmer than usual in most areas except for the south where temperatures will be average, unusually warm days and nights in the north, typical rainfall in most areas, first significant rains of the wet season likely later than usual
• South Australia Warmer than usual with slightly above average rainfall in southern agricultural areas and parts of the north
• Tasmania Unusually warm days and nights, above average rainfall in the east
• Northern Territory Unusually warm days and nights, typical rainfall, first significant rains of the wet season likely earlier than usual.

-AAP