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Coalition, Labor neck-and-neck in new poll

Malcolm Turnbull’s Coalition government and Bill Shorten’s Labor Party are tied on a two-party-preferred basis, according to the latest Fairfax/Ipsos poll.

The result is a 3 per cent drop for the Coalition and a 3 per cent boost for the Labor Party when compared to last month’s poll.

It also meant that if an election was held now, there could be a 3 per cent swing against the Coalition when compared to last election, Fairfax Media reported on Sunday.

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This swing might narrow the Coalition’s majority, or produce a hung parliament with no majority for either major party.

The latest poll sampled 1402 voters from April 14 to April 16. It found that the Coalition’s primary vote had tumbled three percentage points to 42 per cent in the last month.

Labor’s rose two percentage points to 33 per cent in the same period whilst the Greens stayed at 14 per cent.

Despite the concerning results for the Coalition, Mr Turnbull still enjoyed a strong margin over Mr Shorten when it came to preferred leader. But Mr Turnbull’s popularity did take a hit. His approval rating fell four points to 51 per cent and his disapproval rating rose six points to 38 per cent.

Mr Shorten’s approval rating remained at 33 per cent and his disapproval rating rose three points to 55 per cent.

Mr Turnbull’s preferred prime minister rating fell seven percentage points since March to 54 per cent and Mr Shorten jumped five percentage points to 27 per cent.

When Mr Turnbull took over as Prime Minister in 2015, he led Mr Shorten as preferred PM 67 per cent to 21 per cent.

The main topics of debate leading up to the poll being taken included discussion over the ABCC bill passing parliament, a subsequent double dissolution election, the Panama Papers and a proposed banking royal commission.

On Sunday, Attorney-General George Brandis said it was unlikely the industrial relations bills would pass, a double dissolution election could be held on July 2.

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