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Pandemic end ‘in sight’ – surprising figures offer fresh hope

Independent MP Monique Ryan worried about speed of virus rule changes

Public health experts are increasingly optimistic the end of the pandemic is in sight.

The World Health Organisation has advised the pandemic could soon be over, with the weekly number of global deaths continuing to decline.

On Friday, epidemiologist Professor Tony Blakely said it felt like the end.

“We are in a much better position now, we have a lot of immunity from vaccines and natural infection,” he told the ABC.

“If we don’t see anything much different from Omicron come along in the next six months or so, I think we are looking pretty good.”

Jane Halton, who chairs an association called the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations, said while COVID deaths were underestimated, the numbers were looking positive.

Professor Halton said while the virus was unpredictable it was “amazing” that almost two-thirds of the global population had been double vaccinated.

“If we don’t see another particularly nasty variant I think people will be feeling quite optimistic,” she said.

The latest national data on COVID cases and deaths was to be released on Friday afternoon. It will be the first set of weekly figures, after an agreement between states and territories last week to move away from daily data.

The change was announced after national cabinet decided to reduce the isolation period for COVID patients from seven to five days.

However, only those without any symptoms will be allowed to leave isolation after the shorter time frame.

Health experts expect this to have little effect on overall case numbers.

“With no symptoms, you are much less likely to still be infectious,” epidemiologist Adrian Esterman said.

“I don’t think the recent changes to isolation rules will have much impact on transmission.”

But independent MP Monique Ryan is concerned the federal government has moved too quickly to change virus rules.

Dr Ryan, who was the neurology director at Melbourne’s Royal Children’s Hospital before entering parliament, wants a national summit on COVID to discuss a plan in the event of increased infections and pressure on hospitals.

She said people working in the aged, disability, child and health care sectors felt left behind to deal with the ongoing impact of the virus while the rest of the nation moved on.

As the northern hemisphere approached winter, Dr Ryan was concerned Australia would be left vulnerable to new virus strains because of reduced health measures.

Professor Esterman said a new subvariant of the Omicron virus mutation was spreading in Britain and he would not be surprised if Australia saw a similar wave forming in November.

Virus data for the past seven days:

NSW: 17,229 cases, 115 lives lost

ACT: 791 cases, zero lives lost

-AAP

Topics: COVID-19
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