New South Wales Premier Mike Baird is likely to be re-elected on March 28, with 50 per cent of voters naming him the better leader, a Galaxy poll published on Monday has revealed.

According to the poll, the Coalition government has grown its two-party-preferred vote by one point since last month, and now leads Labor 54 to 46 per cent.

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The Coalition’s primary vote is also up one point to 44 per cent, while Labor’s has stagnated at 36 per cent – a figure unimproved since January.

The Greens and others both sit on a primary vote of 10 per cent.

Only 38 per cent of those polled successfully named Mr Foley as opposition leader, while 65 per cent correctly identified Mr Baird as NSW premier.

Fifty-per cent said Mr Baird would make a better premier, compared to 24 per cent for Mr Foley.

According to The Daily Telegraph, there will still be a swing against the government at the election, which stands to lose up to 15 seats across the state.

Mr Baird’s standing in the polls, however, defies a so-called “Abbott effect”, which asserts a deeply unpopular federal Coalition government is responsible for large swings toward Labor at both the Queensland and Victorian state elections.